Friday, October 19, 2018

Week 6 Picks




I went 6-2 straight up and 3-5 against the spread last week. On the year, I am now 30-10 straight up and 22-18 ATS

Yale -8 1/2 at Penn

The Elis will win by 10 or so.


Princeton -24 1/2 at Harvard

This could get ugly. It did last year when Princeton wasn't as good and Harvard was better.


Marist -14 1/2 vs. Davidson

The Red Foxes are finding their footing.


Cornell -9 at Brown

The Big Red will bounce back.


CCSU +3 vs. Sacred Heart

Now CCSU is getting into a groove. They'll win.


Lehigh +14 at Georgetown

The Hoyas will win, but by about 11 or so.









Thursday, October 18, 2018

Ivy Power Rankings




1) Princeton

The Tigers still look unstoppable. They could have beaten Brown 69-10 had they wanted to.


2) Dartmouth

The Big Green's defense is the real deal.


3) Yale

The win over Mercer was a good sign for the Elis. Their offense is really strong and can keep them in most games. But there's a huge chasm between them and Princeton-Dartmouth.


4) Penn

The Quakers gutted out a tough win last week, but Penn won't be a contender this year.


5) Cornell

Losing to Colgate is no shame, but losing by 31-0 is rough and throws the Big Red's ascendancy in question.


6) Harvard

Harvard has a major issue at QB.


7) Columbia

The injury problems are piling up, but the Lions have a good shot at .500.


8) Brown

The Bears are still at rock bottom.

Monday, October 15, 2018

Philly Fail

Penn 13 Columbia 10


Why Penn Won

The Quakers played their best defense of the year, stuffing the Columbia run and keeping the Lion passing game mostly in check. On offense, Penn used a few key runs by QB Ryan Glover to keep drives alive and get the final go-ahead score.

Why Columbia Lost

The Lions offense could not consistently move the ball all day. Columbia avoided going three-and-out just about all day, but couldn't achieve much else. QB Josh Bean had a decent game, especially in the second half. But a late INT after a receiver fell down sealed the Lions fate.


Key Turning Points

-With Penn leading 3-0 and about three minutes left in the 1st quarter, the Lions executed a beautiful fake punt when DE Daniel DeLorenzi took a direct snap and gained 18 yards for a 1st down at the Penn 41. But Columbia failed to get another 1st down and the drive ended with a Drew Schmid punt to the Penn 26.

-With 3:37 left in the half and the Quakers now ahead 6-0, Columbia appeared to convert a 4th and 4 pass to WR Ronald Smith for a 1st down inside the Penn 35. But the ruling on the field was overturned and the completion was negated.

-With Columbia now leading 7-6 and 6:03 left in the 3rd quarter, the Lions took over at the Quaker 24 after a 22 yards punt by Penn's Drew Brennan. But Columbia ended up going backwards on the ensuing possession and had to settle for a 46-yard FG from Chris Alleyne to stretch their lead to 10-6.

-With 3:01 left in the game and Penn now leading 13-10, Columbia's Ty Lenhart appeared to have gained a 1st down on a 4th and 1 run at the Quaker 34. But the refs spotted the ball on the 35 and the spot was upheld by video review.

-With 22 seconds remaining and Columbia facing a 3rd and 4 at the Penn 24, Bean's pass to WR Mozes Mooney was intercepted by Penn's Muhammad Diakate and the game was over.


Columbia Positives

-The defense played generally well, giving the Lions enough chances to win the game. DT Alex Robin had a breakout game, wrecking havoc in the Penn backfield and drawing several holding penalties.

-With WR Josh Wainwright out for the season and WR Ronald Smith apparently a bit hampered by injury, some of the other WR's stepped up admirably. Senior Kaleb Pitts had the best overall game, highlighted by his falling backwards recpetion of a 43-yard pass from Bean to convert a 4th and 18 on the final CU drive. Freshman Mozes Mooney also caught his first pass of the season,

-PK Chris Alleyne had another perfect game, hitting a tough 46-yard FG, nailing all of his kickoffs for touchbacks, and calmly hitting a PAT.


Columbia Negatives

-The Lions run blocking just doesn't seem to work and certainly isn't accentuating the talents of several talented RB's.

-The Lion defense has a weakness for running QB's and it's very obvious.


Columbia MVP

Once again, I give the MVP to Chris Alleyne. It's just a shame he never got the chance to send the game into OT with one more long FG.






Friday, October 12, 2018

Finding Themselves in Philly




Columbia Lions (3-1) vs. Pennsylvania Quakers (3-1)


October 13, 2018

Kickoff Time: 1:00pm

Franklin Field


Game Time Weather Forecast: 55 degrees and cloudy


The Line: Penn is favored by 6 points


TV/Radio: You can watch live on ESPN+ and listen to the Columbia Radio Broadcast with the superior team of Jerry Recco and Sal Licata!

The Game Last Year: Columbia 31 Penn 28 (OT) 

Columbia Game Notes

Penn Game Notes


Leading Story Lines


1) This is going to be a defining game for both teams, because it's very hard to define how good they are even after four games. The Lions have really only had their top starting QB on the field for one entire game, and the Quakers can say the same about their top WR. Right now, it looks like Princeton and Dartmouth are well ahead of the rest of the league, but CU and Penn are two teams that could be very good or just pretenders. 


2) I'm not a big believer in the "bad blood" myth, but the Quakers are clearly a bit more steamed than usual after last year's OT loss in New York. 


3) Can Columbia handle another big play WR after getting torched by Marist's Juston Christian last week? Look for Penn to test the Lion secondary early and often.


Thursday, October 11, 2018

Week 5 Picks




I had a so-so week 5, going 6-1 straight up and 4-3 against the spread. Overall, I am now 24-8 overall and 19-13 ATS


Holy Cross +14 at Harvard

The Crusaders suddenly don't look quite strong enough to win this one, but they can cover that spread.


Cornell +11 at Colgate

The Big Red will make this a game, but Colgate is just a little better and will win.


Princeton -40 1/2 vs. Brown

The Tigers seem to be into showing no mercy.


Bryant -2 vs. CCSU

CCSU runs hot and cold. It's time to run cold.


Jacksonville -2 vs. Marist

Could go either way, but this is a brutal road trip for the Red Foxes.


Yale -4 vs. Mercer

Bulldogs bounce back.


Georgetown +2 1/2 at Lafayette

The Hoyas are learning how to beat bad teams.


Sacred Heard +22 at Dartmouth

I think the Big Green will take their feet off the gas here and "only" win by about 19 or 20.