Tuesday, June 5, 2018

"O" or "D?"

This is going to mostly be a post about statistics, but there is some news to hit first.

On Friday, we learned that former U. Florida QB Jake Allen had decided to transfer to Dartmouth.

I can now report that Allen had also strongly considered Columbia, but it looks like new Dartmouth assistant coach David Shula helped bring him to Hanover based on his name and the fact that Allen and Shula both attended St. Thomas Aquinas HS in South Florida.

Allen looks like a great passer and his taller stature will make him stand out in the Ivies. His mobility is in question, however, and it appears his reluctance to play in a mobile QB system pushed him out the door in Gainesville.

This is still a nice coup for Dartmouth, who lacked a proven passing QB in its arsenal.

Meanwhile, Columbia's coaches do seem more optimistic about the QB position for the Lions after both Josh Bean and Dillon Davis performed well in spring practice.


Who Improved More?

Most Columbia fans know a key factor in the Lions title run last season was the big improvement in QB play by now-graduated Anders Hill and the superstar status CU receivers Josh Wainwright and Ronald Smith earned with big play after big play.

But was it the offense that really improved more overall than the defense in 2017?

Let's look at the numbers:

Compared to 2016, the offense scored 29.1% more points, gained 10% more total yards, 19.5% more passing yards, 26.3% more yards per pass, but also declined by 5.2% in total rushing yards and actually dropped to 2.9 yards per rush compared to 3.2 in 2016.

On the other hand, the defense improved in every category. It allowed 29.1% percent fewer points, (yes the exact same percentage change as the offense enjoyed... weird), gave up 8.3% fewer total yards, 18.5% fewer rushing yards, and a small 0.5% decrease in passing yards.

Stats aside, it's really hard to think of any game where the defense had a poor performance. The two losses against Yale and Harvard which much more a result of offensive failures and the CU defense put in stellar performances against Princeton, Dartmouth, Penn, Cornell, and Brown.

No one is taking anything away from the offense, but the CU defense was underrated last season.

Only three key defensive players have graduated. CB Cameron Roane will be the hardest to replace, DL's Lord Hyeamang and Connor Heeb were good but still part of a very deep rotation on that D-line.

Meanwhile, the entire deep linebacking corps returns, almost all the secondary is back, including three of the four starters, and the D-Line is still stacked.

Meanwhile, defensive coordinator Paul Ferraro has been in this role since Head Coach Al Bagnoli brought him here when he first arrived in 2015. That's good stability that shows.

So, while the focus during this summer will be on who will be Columbia's new QB, don't forget the defense is looking about as good as it has in decades at Wien Stadium.




2 comments:

oldlion said...

I was really surprised that no NFL team has signed Roane. To me he was a legitimate prospect. Last year he effectively could shut down one half of the field without safety help. Against teams with excellent receivers like Princeton and Dartmouth somebody will have to step up. Of course a great pass rush will help.

oldlion said...

Re Dartmouth: I was more concerned that we lost the younger Flores to Dartmouth than that we didn't get the transfer QB.