Thursday, September 25, 2014

Week 5 Picks




A very wild weekend for week 4 gave me a mixed result. I went 5-4 straight up and a very respectable 6-3 against the spread.

So I now stand at 10-6 straight up and 9-6 against the spread for the season.

On to this week's games:

Lehigh -3 over Monmouth

Monmouth is coming off a tough loss to Duquesne and Lehigh was on the losing end of that crazy shootout at Yale. The Mountain Hawks need this win more than the Hawks, (yes that's confusing). Take Lehigh and lay the points at home.

Holy Cross + 13 1/2 vs. Fordham

The Rams are getting back into a groove, but Holy Cross will play them tough at home. I think Fordham will win this one by 10.

Penn +28 vs. Villanova

Look for the Quakers to put up a decent fight against the Wildcats at Franklin Field. I see 'Nova pulling away late for a 20-25 point win, but not quite a four TD romp.

UNH -14 vs. Dartmouth

UNH's QB is hurt, but the backup is the former starter. I suppose the Big Green could make a serious game of this, but I still see this as a 17 point win for UNH.

Brown +18 vs. Harvard

Brown looked just terrible at Georgetown last week, but the Bears will get up enough at home Saturday night to play a decent game. The Crimson will win by 14-17 points.

Bucknell -16 vs. Cornell

The Bison are a resurgent team this season after a long dormant period in Lewisburg. I like them to beat the Big Red by 17 or more.

Davidson +49 at Princeton

Davidson is terrible and the Tigers will be itching to prove they're a lot better than they looked in that game at San Diego last week. But 49 points is just too big a spread for me. Princeton by 35-40.

Army -14 at Yale

Yale looked good on offense last week, but Army is a whole new ball game. The Cadets don't usually rack up big points, so I understand why the spread is relatively low. But this is a game that I think will turn into a rout in the later stages. Take Army and lay the points.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Very tough matchups for Dartmouth and Penn. I would lay off the Penn-Villanova game just because 'Nova is fully capable of running it up. Penn is not in 'Nova's class so it could get ugly.

UNH is not the same powerhouse it has been but -14 could be reasonable. I would not touch that game.

Absurd spread for Princeton but a team that offers no resistance invites this kind of thing.

Holy Cross impressed me vs Harvard despite the points given up. Fordham is very dangerous but it could be closer than we think.

Monmouth @ Lehigh is too close to call. Lehigh is going to want this one more at home.

I REALLY hope I do not eat my shoe watching Army vs Yale. I REALLY wanted Lehigh to keep Yale humbled last week. Army is not so great but much, much better than years past. They have an excellent offensive scheme, perfectly suited for them which has been missing for a long time. Problem is, Yale has the same horses in their backfield. Army's defense is nothing special.

Chick said...

Jake, did you pick up on Murphy's latest insults? She told Spectator last week that there are two types of Columbia fans , the ones who remain loyal to her and keep sending money (suck-ups who don't care about winning, only about staying on the cocktail party invitation list) and the second group that gets angry about losing (forever).
She didn't mention that the "angry" fans also contribute money plus devoted fan support.

She did "graciously" add that the anger over losing is "natural" meaning it doesn't bother her and she just ignores it.

She did NOT say that the losing bothers her, or that it is her responsibility to do something about it. What a total disaster!

And another disaster--the Trustees--just extended Disaster-in-Chief Bollywood's loser act through 2018.

Finally, to the Cocktail Party Fans here, don't remind me again what a great fund-raiser Bollywood is for the university. My dentist is a better fund-raiser. Let's make him the CU President, Trustee Chairman, ADD and HC
All in one. He'll do a much better job and take less in salary.

WOF said...

Do you think there are many Penn people who are critical of Penn keeping Nova on their schedule since Nova gives scholarships?

I hihly doubt it. At Penn they have real expectations of excellence and they want to play against the best.

Meanwhile in morningside heights we hope and pray for dependable effort from our dbacks....

Chick said...

That's only the football fans. Most of Columbia hopes and prays that President Bollywood will raise more money soon to cram more high-rise temples to Political Correctness into our crowded little campus.