Thursday, October 1, 2015

Week 5 Picks

Some news before I get to the picks for this week:

Radio Serial

"The Season' on WNYC continues with today's release of episode 3: "Scrub Talk," which includes some interesting revelations from Bill Campbell.

Pulp Nonfiction

The Columbia Spectator has been running live blogs of the Lions football games and they can be a good way to follow the contests if you can't get to a radio or webcast. Meanwhile, the Spec has three good football articles to check out in today's edition.

Another Commit

Max Mullaney

3) It looks like 6-2, 225-pound QB/LB Max Mullaney from Colts Neck HS in New Jersey has indeed committed to Columbia for next year and will be slotted at CU as a linebacker.

Mullaney would be the first Colts Neck grad to come to Columbia football.

Here's the list of our 15 known commits for 2016:

1) Parker Coogan OL/DT 6-2 270 lbs. Kingwood HS Houston, TX

2) Matt Dame QB 6-2 185 lbs. Suncoast HS Riviera Beach, FL

3) Danny De Lorenzi LB 6-3 230 lbs. Bergen Catholic HS, Oradell, NJ 

4) John Fischer OL 6-3 290 lbs. Sacred Heart-Griffin HS Springfield, IL

5) Alex Gibson RB 5-10 195 lbs. Central Bucks High School East Doylestown, PA

6) LinDon Harris DE 6-2 215 lbs. Sidwell Friends Washington, DC

7) Ben Hill TE/DE 6-3 230 lbs. Christian Brothers HS Memphis, TN

8) Hogan Irwin RB 5-10 180 lbs. Central Cathedral HS San Diego, CA

9) Max Mullaney LB 6-2 225 lbs. Colts Neck HS Colts Neck, NJ

10) Michael Murphy LB 5-11 194 lbs. Plant HS Tampa, FL

11) Lamine Nouck-A-Nwal DE/OL  6-4 250 lbs. Central Bucks High School East Doylestown, PA

12) Hunter Petlansky QB 6-2 225 lbs. Modesto Central Catholic HS Modesto, CA 

13) Alex Robin DT 6-0 260 lbs. Vestavia Hills HS Vestavia Hills, AL 

14) Tanner Thomas RB 5-10 183 lbs. Farragut HS Knoxville, TN 

15) Jonathon Webster DB  6-0 180 lbs. Eastside Catholic HS Sammamish, WA

Petlansky Feature

The Modesto-area sports journalists really like 2016 commit Hunter Petlansky, and with good reason. 

One local high school football website posted this video of Petlansky's highlights through the first four games of his current season.

I went 4-3 straight up and 4-3 against the spread last week to put my shaky overall records at 12-8 straight up and 11-9 ATS so far.

One thing to note about this week's lines is that the gambling sites don't seem to be factoring in the rough weather heading our way at all in the spreads.

Penn +16 vs. Dartmouth

This is a huge spread considering the weather and improvement Penn showed against Villanova. I think Dartmouth will win a close game by about 10 at the most. 

Colgate -9 at Cornell (Friday night game)

The Big Red have been better than expected despite two losses to start the season. But now I expect the bubble to burst.

Georgetown +28 1/2 at Harvard (Friday night game)

This just looks like too big a spread for a terrible weather game. I know Harvard could beat the Hoyas by 30 or 40, but I think they will pack it in early and win by about 21 to 24.

Yale -5 at Lehigh

This is a good spread, even considering the weather. The Elis seem like a lock at -5.

Brown -13 1/2 over Rhode Island

The Bears may struggle to cover the spread in the weather, but this is their game to win.

Fordham -12 at Lafayette

Rain or no rain, this feels like a blowout. Just 12 points? What am I missing?

Wagner -3 1/2 over Robert Morris

This feels like a must-win for the Seahawks.

1 comment:

oldlion said...

Mullaney is the type of recruit we would have missed out on pre-Bagnoli. And it looks like the class is shaping up nicely, unless Penn plant "Bob Barker" scares off recruits by his negative blogging here.