Thursday, September 26, 2013

Week 5 Picks




Last week, I went 6-2 straight up and 4-3-1 against the spread to bring my season record to 11-4 straight up and 9-5-1 against the spread.

On to this week and a slate of seven games to pick...


Yale -1 vs. Cornell

There are two really bad things about this game for the Big Red: the game is on the road and the Elis have a great running attack. I like the Elis to win this one.


Brown +13 at Harvard

This is the key game of the weekend under the lights at Harvard Stadium. Could this be the year the Bears finally break the chain of losses to the Crimson on the road? I wish the answer were "yes," because the Ivies are in such a rut these days. But I still think Harvard will pull it out. Brown to cover, Harvard to win.


Holy Cross +9 at Dartmouth

I like the Big Green to win this game, but the Crusaders should bounce back after a really poor showing vs. Monmouth last week. Dartmouth needs to keep some powder dry before its much more crucial game at Penn next weekend.


Penn + 18 1/2 at Villanova

The Quakers just can't seem to beat the Wildcats in any setting. But Penn never gets embarrassed either. This is a huge spread that has me scratching my head. 'Nova to win, Penn to cover.


Princeton -17 at Georgetown

The Hoyas look really, really bad this season and Princeton was still mostly impressive in its one-point loss to Lehigh last week. The Tigers can and should rout the home team this Saturday.


Lehigh + 6 1/2 over New Hampshire

Suffice it to say that I was really impressed with the Mountain Hawks when I saw their win over Princeton on TV Saturday night. I think Lehigh will win this game outright.


Fordham -16 at St. Francis (PA)

What the odds makers apparently don't know is that Fordham HAS to run up score this season to assure it gets an at-large bid into the FCS playoffs. That's why the Rams kept blitzing Columbia into the 4th quarter. This game could get even uglier.







7 comments:

Anonymous said...

What's the spread against Monmouth?

Jake said...

Monmouth is favored by 9 points.

Al's Wingman said...

9 is a big spread. Haven't seen Monmouth this season but a very quick recon of their box scores tells me they will rely ont heir ground game. Unless their QB pulls it together (yet to do so) CU could win the game outright. I don't see their D as anything special. Marcorous should get at least 15 or more carries if Pete has any notion of competence.

Mitch S.'68CC said...

Good teams win games even when they play badly. They win games that they "should" lose. Bad teams manage to lose games even when they've played well. At the last minute they find ways to lose games they "should" win. Of course occasionally a bad team will win a game it should lose, and then people think (for one week) that it's actually a good team. That's how bad teams break your heart. We'll see....

Anonymous said...

So Nottingham was lost for the season because Fordham "needed" to run up the score? FCS playoffs must. be really crappy if they factor in running up the score against my eternally struggling Lions.
Was there any retaliation or were we not able to get close to the Ram QB? Mangurian talks tough about regrouping this wretched program but all he's done so far is require his OL to be anorexic. Great plan.
FYI, Lion record under Affirmative Action Bollinger for 12 years--12 wins, 82 losses.

Anonymous said...

Sorry, typoed Bollinger's W-L. It's 28-81....not much better.

Anonymous said...

This isn't my day....dreading Monmouth (Lou Little is turning in his grave). It's 28-83.