Thursday, August 29, 2013

Jake vs. the Odds



Every year, I pick the games of the week both straight up and against the spread.

After a super record in 2011, I had my worst year last season. I went 19-21-2 against the spread and a super shabby 22-20 straight up.

This season, I’ve decided to pick every game played by every CU opponent. Perhaps more volume will help me restore my usual 60% level of excellence.

That means I need to get started today as week one opponent Fordham goes up against Rhode Island at home tonight and Monmouth heads all the way out to Montana to play Montana State.

*REMINDER

If you’re new to this blog and for those of you who may have forgotten, I don’t personally bet on sporting events. In fact, I strongly discourage it. I do not pick Columbia games at all. But I do like to look at our opponents and give my assessments of them while providing readers with info on how the odds makers are sizing up each game.

Let’s get started:


Fordham -9 ½ over Rhode Island

Fordham continues to improve while URI is coming off an 0-11 season with a long way to go to get back into the mix. Rhode Island has had a recent history of playing Fordham very well, but I think a 10-point win is very doable for the Bronx Rams. Take Fordham and lay the points.


Monmouth +28 vs. Montana State


Montana State is ranked in some polls as the #2 team in all of FCS. That means there are probably a number of FBS teams they could beat on any given Saturday. Monmouth is a solid program, but the Hawks don’t stand a chance tonight. They will, however, play well enough to cover the spread. Montana State to win, Monmouth to cover. 

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Funny on the Monmouth-MSU spread. That's pretty much what the Colgate-Air Force spread is as well. And Colgate-Monmouth would probably be an even game.

Jake said...

No, Colgate would be a 20+ point favorite vs. Monmouth.

Anonymous said...

Temple plays ND Sat., TV, Fordham a week later, ESPN3, so we'll have something of a yardstick on the Rams, although the early games, comparisons are far from solid.